Monday, December 19, 2011

Stock Market View...Leading Stock Analysis Updated


Stock Market continues its indecisive non-committal action.  Considering all the bad news that keeps circulating around, the market & many strong fundamental leaders have held up quite well.

At this point of the year we don't really want to see much of a rally.  It will most likely be accompanied by low volume and setup a bull trap into the new year.  More constructive action would be continued sideways or downward movement with one last shakeout.  Of course leading stocks would have to continue holding their setups.  What's been interesting, for every leader that breaks apart, a new one takes its place.

The short side is too extended, wild, and more susceptible to headline risk.  While there are many old leaders setting up classic short patterns, they need more time to shake out the shorts and tighten up.

Outside of a major surprise, we continue to look for the third leg of the bull market led eventually by the large caps.  Mid caps have held up better then most and should lead early before passing on the baton.

Stay patient and dip your toes but don't let any stock move too much against you.  Cash is not a bad place to be through the new year.  As I always say, it is rare that a Bull Market just takes off and doesn't offer a second opportunity.

Review the updated Leading Stock Analysis section updated this weekend.

Tuesday, December 13, 2011

What to do? What to do? What to do?


Nothing.  There is nothing to do in the stock market.  Plenty of long setups but none want to move higher...Yet.  The one's that have gone are just backing and filling and not making much progress.  The market and top notch stock want to go, but the continued uncertainty out of Europe is holding them back.  If you're lucky enough to be in a position that is working, make sure it's acting right or keep the stop tight.  There is no reason to take on risk until we get at least some sense that the Europeans are going to really fix their problem or super glue it enough that it leaves the headlines for a few months.  Ultimately they will have to deal with it and new bull market will find its footing.

In the meantime use the Leading Stock Analysis Section(updated weekly) of the Blog to keep your watchlists fresh.  You don't want to be caught off guard when the stock market does find it's footing and turns.  The first stocks out of the gate will be the best place to park your money for the rally.

If you have any questions, please ask.

Click to go to the Leading Stock Analysis Section...

Monday, December 12, 2011

Leading Stock Analysis Updated

As long as the stocks in the Leading Stock Analysis Section are able to stay intact, we would continue to look to enter the stock market on the long side. Stay tuned for a full market update...Soon. For now, you have everything you need in the Leading Stock Analysis Section. I am confident that if the new bull market continues, the Leading Stock Analysis section has picked up the majority of Big Winners.

If you missed my Market Outlook interview w/Kate Stalter last weekend, 17 Growth with Bullish Charts.,  listen to it now.

Wednesday, December 07, 2011

Play it Safe...But...Don't Be Afraid to Play it


Tough market for anyone trading longer then 30 minutes.  That's about how long intra-day trends last.  Alot of backing and filling making it tough to hold positions.  Yet we find ourselves with plenty of setups in leading stocks, and a market that just won't pullback enough to make anyone comfortable even entering one position.  


Personally, my opinion is we need more of a shakeout, but that doesn't mean the market might not just take off after this 2 day pullback, if you can even call it that.  So you have to be ready to buy at least one thing, and only one thing if the market gaps up big one day.  If the market is going to launch from here and pullback later, you're participating.  Keep your stops real tight.  At this stage, if the stock is going to breakout, it should just go.  


Develop your own road map.  No Bull Market just runs away.  If not this week, then next.  But you have to be prepared to make a quick decision.


If you missed my market outlook interview w/Kate Stalter from the MoneyShow.com, you can read or listen (transcripts a bit garbled)...17 (!) Growth Stocks with Bullish Charts.  Don't forrget to Vote.

Monday, December 05, 2011

17 (!) Growth Stocks with Bullish Charts

Did an interview with Kate Stalter @KateStalter at the MoneyShow.com @MoneyShow about my current stock market outlook and growth stocks that could be big winners if the rally continues to materialize, title 17 (!) Growth Stocks with Bullish Charts.  You can listen (my preference) or read the interview.  Don't forget to VOTE.


Direct Audio Linkhttp://a836.g.akamai.net/7/339/42910/v0001/moneyshow.download.akamai.com/42911/mp3/dailyguru/Gennady_Kupershteyn.wav



Sunday, November 27, 2011

Leading Stock & Market Analysis


The Leading Stock Analysis Section has been updated. The list is a fantastic starting point for research.

The Stock Market continues to act within historical norms for the first pullback after a potential bottom, as scary as it all seems.  That by no means is a leading reason to run into positions.  If a long setup appears on one of the Leading Stock Analysis stocks, no reason not to test the waters if the setup is tight. Many Leading Stocks continue to act fine, while the others that ran up too fast off the bottom appear to be starting newer, tighter, bases.  These will take time to form.

Full Stock Market analysis tomorrow.  For now, review the Leading Stocks for possible setups.  Watch the currently expected large gap up in the morning.  Be patient.  Headline Risk will be huge.

Sunday, November 06, 2011

New Bull Market & Our New Leading Stock Analysis Section


The bull market is back.  It will need to pause preferably a little more before getting aggressive with positions.  Too many stock have run sharply, in many cases 30%+, in too short of time, but on very strong volume.  The number of long setups has jumped significantly in the last 3 weeks in almost every sector.  Leading stocks that have broken out, have done so on strong volume and recently pulling back in an orderly manner on very soft volume.  The environment is excellent for long setup swing traders.  Based on history and time of year, we should pause over the next 2 - 3 weeks and resume the rally into the New Year.  Large capitalization stocks should take charge of this rally within a few months.

We're happy to add a new section, for a limited time, Leading Stocks Analysis.  It is my full analysis with my full list of stocks and current ranks (1's & 2's are similar, but the 1's are closer to buy or add points).  You will find that the analysis will pick up the majority of high growth stock big winners.  Enjoy

Tuesday, October 25, 2011

HGSI - Another Low Tight Flag!!

Worked like a charm on NFLX - Netflix last night.  Working for HGSI this evening.

Click Chart to Enlarge

Sunday, October 23, 2011

Is NFLX a Low Tight Flag?

The stock gets cut in half in four weeks on very heavy volume and holds tight for the last three weeks on lower volume as the stock market rallied strongly (See Chart Below).  The company blundered big time recently by first raising prices and then trying to split in two.  They've reversed on the split up, but the price increases stay.  The stock reports tomorrow after hours, and in my opinion the report is going to be really bad along with the guidance.  You have to imagine that the company took a big financial hit and will need a few quarters to turn around and prove that they are the best again and can fight off the comptetion from Amazon (AMZN), Apple(AAPL), and cable companies.  At this point the bulls are so nervous in the stock, that any perceived bad news, especially unexpected bad news, they are ready to sell at any price.



Click on Chart to Enlarge

If I'm right, I just termed my first base, The Low Tigh Flag. The reverse of a rare High Tight Flag which is very powerful and profitbale if identified correctly. Coined by William J. Oneil in his book How to Make Money in Stocks (A must read).  Time will be the judge.  For now, you decide.

As always love to hear the comments and questions.

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

48 Short Setups to Watch


Continue to believe the next big tradeable move in the market is down.  The market would have to do alot more work to convince me otherwise.  If you see a good entry, take it and use a stop.  Get stopped out of a few trades in a row, means that cash is probably the best place until the next round of setups appear, either on the long or short side.

Below is my list of 48 short setups.  Use it wisely:

AKAM TQNT VECO JLL LPX BKD MBI RVBD CBG F PCS OC VHC ROVI TXT GCI IRF ACOM DHX NOG WSM GTAT CTSH AGP GGG ALTR TER CXO EW MCO FNSR KOG NVDA ENTG HUM EXEL VRX HS KLIC AVGO WCG BAS LNG ARMH  SGI ITMN AMRN SODA

You can also scroll through past blogs and tweets for more ideas.

Comments?  Questions?  Email us @CapitalistBull.

For more updates in real-time, follow us @CapitalistBull on Twitter.

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

34 Short Setup Ideas & Market Update


We continue to hold steadfast to our bearish stance based on our historical models and current indicators.  Having said that, we would use caution in initiating overnight positions.  While day trades have been profitable for the scalper, intra-day trend traders and overnight positions have been subjected to too many violent shakeouts, which could shake a traders confidence for when the time is right.


We are waiting to see more tightness before getting aggressive on the short side.  Over the next two weeks, our belief based on our historical studies and current indicators, the market will present another tradeable short side opportunity.  As of this morning we remain mostly on the sidelines watching the action and updating our lists.  


AMRN AVGO SIRI NXPI ACAS FTNT APKT ATML VMED SWKS IPXL IMAX JDSU RVBD THC CRUS PCS F MBI KND FFIV NTAP AIG VPRT PWER UIS CTB FOE GOL OMX LDK RDN MTG YOKU


Follow us Twitter, @CapitalistBull, for the latest updates.


Always feel free to comment or email us with question, likes, or dislikes.


Enjoy the trading day :o)...

Monday, September 26, 2011

70 Stocks We're Watching for New Short Setups & 43 Leaders To Keep on your Watchlist


Continue to look for short entries into any strength in the stock market. Here is a list of stocks that we will be combing through all week and during the day for low risk short entries:

OMX FST MBI AIG THC PVX CRUS LPX RCL AXL ALV HAR CTSH JBL LDK BPOP ALU VMED NTGR NVDA RAX CTB CENX IMAX BRKR APKT

ONXX ARMH FOE OSK KND BKD PXD GCI KLIC GOL NTAP SFSF IRF WSM FR FOSL MTOR STEC JDSU EXXI COHR IPXL APL CNH TC PCS F ROVI SFI RNOW MTG AKAM MGM VPRT EW MCO AMRN RDN KKR FFIV ATML SGY SIRI BSFT

Remember, early week strength tends to lead to late week weakness.  Market is full of headline risk.  Best to watch the market begin to stall on news related strength and then begin initiating shorts.  This could take a few days to play out even though some stocks could start to show weakness earlier.  Use your judgement and don't get inpatient.

Avoid taking new positions on the long side unless they are for day trades only.  Below is a list of leading stocks that could be setting up for the next big rally.  But it is too early to initiate any of them.  There will be plenty of time and more evidence when the time is right.

JAZZ GMCR PSMT SIMO MRGE ULTA RGR AKRX DMND ATHN HANS ALXN CMG UA STMP MG CPSI HITK RL MKTX WPI IACI MA CHT PCLN QSII AAPL EBAY ISRG LVS NOG JCOM VCLK SWI SIMG JOSB FN ONE CELG GOOG VRA THR UAN

If you're not a day or short trader or investor, then just study your past trades, keep your watchlist fresh, and enjoy the mental break the market is giving.  The time will be right soon enough.

If you want faster and more updates, follow me free on Twitter @CapitalistBull.